EM · Mass-gathering and event medicine
Mass-gathering and event medicine — PICE classification, casualty prediction and event medical planning
Also known as Mass-gathering medicine · Event medicine · Mass gathering medical care · PICE classification · Potential injury creating event · Patient presentation rate · PPR · Transport to hospital rate · TTHR · MIMMS · Crowd crush · Compressive asphyxia · Event medical planning · Festival medicine
Mass-gathering and event medicine — the provision of healthcare to defined crowds at planned events and the planning required to do it safely. The WHO functional definition of a mass gathering (a crowd with the potential to strain the planning and response resources of the host community; an operational threshold of 1000 or more attendees) and the distinction from a mass casualty incident (the casualty-generating event that shifts the standard of care to the population — the greatest good for the greatest number). The PICE (Potential Injury Creating Event) classification of any event by Type (planned or unplanned, primary or secondary), Category (static or dynamic), Status (controlled or uncontrolled) and Stage (0 to 4 by need for outside aid). The Arbon predictive model for patient presentation rate (about 1 per 1000 attendees overall, higher for outdoor, unbounded, hot-weather and alcohol-available events) and transport to hospital rate (about 0.03 per 1000 attendees). Event archetypes (sport, concert, pilgrimage, festival), the MEDPLAN six-domain medical plan, MIMMS CSCATT command, SALT triage, crowd crush as compressive asphyxia, MDMA-related hyperthermia and hyponatraemia, crush syndrome, and the escalation triggers that convert a mass gathering into a mass casualty incident.
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Red flags
- A mass gathering is a planned crowd; a mass casualty incident is a casualty-generating event — when the on-site medical cover is overwhelmed, a mass gathering becomes an MCI and the standard of care shifts from the individual to the population
- Crowd crush kills by compressive asphyxia, not trampling — at high crowd densities individuals lose control of their movement and pressure transmits through the crowd to cause positional asphyxial death
- The Arbon predictive model gives an overall patient presentation rate of about 1 per 1000 attendees (0.99 per 1000) and transport rate about 0.03 per 1000 — higher for outdoor, unbounded, hot-weather and alcohol-available events — under-resourcing against this figure is the cardinal planning failure
- MDMA at a hot outdoor festival causes hyperthermia and hyponatraemia from water overconsumption — the single-drug patient can mimic heat stroke, and the two presentations must be managed together with active cooling
- The first patients to self-present at the on-site medical post are the least injured — the seriously injured arrive later by stretcher and the casualty wave builds over hours
- Loss of the on-site command structure or communications is itself an escalation trigger — without command there is no triage, no transport matrix and no coordinated response
- Crush syndrome releases potassium and myoglobin on extrication — pre-extrication fluid loading and post-release rhabdomyolysis management prevent the reperfusion death
Meet the patient
A 22-year-old man is half-carried into the on-site medical post at an outdoor summer music festival on day two — 36 degrees Celsius in the shade, headline act in an hour. He is agitated, pulling off his shirt, drenched in sweat; a friend says he took two pills about four hours ago and has been drinking non-stop from the free water points. Rectal temperature 41.2 degrees Celsius, heart rate 144, GCS 13, glucose normal.[1]
This is the single patient who holds the whole topic together. He is simultaneously heat stroke and MDMA toxicity — hyperthermia from the drug and the weather, hyponatraemia from the water he drank to stay safe — and the casualty wave is still building behind him. The two questions every event-medicine stem turns on: is this presentation within the predicted load the plan was sized for, and has that load now overtaken the team's capacity? Hold those two questions and PICE, Arbon and the escalation triggers all slot into place.[1]
References17ShowHide
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