Psych · Professional practice — critical appraisal and EBM
Critical appraisal for psychiatry exams
Also known as Critical appraisal · Evidence-based medicine · EBM psychiatry · MRCPsych Paper B statistics · Forest plot · Number needed to treat · NNT · CONSORT · PRISMA · Risk of bias · P-value · Confidence interval
Exam-exhaustive critical appraisal for MRCPsych Paper B and FRANZCP: Sackett EBM and PICO; hierarchy of evidence and GRADE; RCT validity (randomisation, concealment, blinding, ITT); bias taxonomy; ARR/RRR/NNT; p-values and CIs; diagnostic accuracy (Sn/Sp/LR); systematic reviews, forest plots, I-squared and publication bias; CONSORT/PRISMA/STROBE/STARD and RoB 2/ROBINS-I/QUADAS-2; worked psychiatry abstract critique. FRANZCP-primary, globally tagged.
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Target exams
Red flags
- Relative risk reduction quoted without absolute risk reduction or NNT — classic exaggeration trap in abstracts and industry talks
- Underpowered negative trial sold as proof of equivalence — absence of evidence is not evidence of absence
- Unconcealed allocation or unblinded subjective outcomes in psychiatry RCTs — effect sizes routinely inflate
- Forest-plot diamond with high I-squared treated as a single trustworthy answer — explore heterogeneity first
- Diagnostic test with excellent sensitivity/specificity applied in low-prevalence screening — PPV collapses (base-rate neglect)
- p less than 0.05 treated as clinical importance or as the probability the null is true — both are wrong
Meet the stem
You turn the page in Paper B and find eight lines of abstract. A 12-week randomised trial of an antidepressant in 180 outpatients. Primary outcome: mean change on a clinician-rated scale. "Response" was 52 percent on drug versus 40 percent on placebo. The abstract's final sentence: "Drug X reduced non-response by 20 percent."[3][26]
You have about ninety seconds. Three marks are sitting in that last sentence, two in the outcome definition, and two more in what the abstract does not say about who dropped out.[3][22]
This page is the exam-room drill: the sequence, the arithmetic you must do cold, and the traps. The deeper machinery — RoB 2's five domains one by one, tau-squared and prediction intervals, network meta-analysis assumptions, the five GRADE steps, and the Turner publication-bias story — lives in the foundations topic Critical appraisal (advanced). Read that for the method; read this for the marks.[1][10][14]
References26ShowHide
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- [2]Richardson WS, Wilson MC, Nishikawa J, Hayward RS The well-built clinical question: a key to evidence-based decisions ACP J Club, 1995.PMID 7582737
- [3]Laupacis A, Sackett DL, Roberts RS An assessment of clinically useful measures of the consequences of treatment N Engl J Med, 1988.PMID 3374545
- [4]Jaeschke R, Guyatt GH, Sackett DL Users' guides to the medical literature. III. How to use an article about a diagnostic test. B. What are the results and will they help me in caring for my patients? JAMA, 1994.PMID 8309035
- [5]Schulz KF, Altman DG, Moher D; CONSORT Group CONSORT 2010 statement: updated guidelines for reporting parallel group randomised trials BMJ, 2010.PMID 20332509
- [6]Moher D, Liberati A, Tetzlaff J, Altman DG; PRISMA Group Preferred reporting items for systematic reviews and meta-analyses: the PRISMA statement BMJ, 2009.PMID 19622551
- [7]Page MJ, McKenzie JE, Bossuyt PM, et al. The PRISMA 2020 statement: an updated guideline for reporting systematic reviews BMJ, 2021.PMID 33782057
- [8]von Elm E, Altman DG, Egger M, Pocock SJ, Gøtzsche PC, Vandenbroucke JP; STROBE Initiative The Strengthening the Reporting of Observational Studies in Epidemiology (STROBE) statement: guidelines for reporting observational studies Lancet, 2007.PMID 18064739
- [9]Whiting PF, Rutjes AWS, Westwood ME, et al. QUADAS-2: a revised tool for the quality assessment of diagnostic accuracy studies Ann Intern Med, 2011.PMID 22007046
- [10]Guyatt GH, Oxman AD, Kunz R, et al. GRADE: what is "quality of evidence" and why is it important to clinicians? BMJ, 2008.PMID 18456631
- [11]Guyatt GH, Oxman AD, Vist GE, et al. GRADE: an emerging consensus on rating quality of evidence and strength of recommendations BMJ, 2008.PMID 18436948
- [12]Higgins JP, Thompson SG, Deeks JJ, Altman DG Measuring inconsistency in meta-analyses BMJ, 2003.PMID 12958120
- [13]Higgins JPT, Altman DG, Gøtzsche PC, et al. The Cochrane Collaboration's tool for assessing risk of bias in randomised trials BMJ, 2011.PMID 22008217
- [14]Sterne JAC, Savović J, Page MJ, et al. RoB 2: a revised tool for assessing risk of bias in randomised trials BMJ, 2019.PMID 31462531
- [15]Sterne JA, Hernán MA, Reeves BC, et al. ROBINS-I: a tool for assessing risk of bias in non-randomised studies of interventions BMJ, 2016.PMID 27733354
- [16]Ioannidis JPA Why most published research findings are false PLoS Med, 2005.PMID 16060722
- [17]Bossuyt PM, Reitsma JB, Bruns DE, et al. STARD 2015: an updated list of essential items for reporting diagnostic accuracy studies BMJ, 2015.PMID 26511519
- [18]Egger M, Davey Smith G, Schneider M, Minder C Bias in meta-analysis detected by a simple, graphical test BMJ, 1997.PMID 9310563
- [19]DerSimonian R, Laird N Meta-analysis in clinical trials Control Clin Trials, 1986.PMID 3802833
- [20]Schulz KF, Chalmers I, Hayes RJ, Altman DG Empirical evidence of bias. Dimensions of methodological quality associated with estimates of treatment effects in controlled trials JAMA, 1995.PMID 7823387
- [21]Altman DG, Bland JM Absence of evidence is not evidence of absence BMJ, 1995.PMID 7647644
- [22]Hollis S, Campbell F What is meant by intention to treat analysis? Survey of published randomised controlled trials BMJ, 1999.PMID 10480822
- [23]Cipriani A, Furukawa TA, Salanti G, et al. Comparative efficacy and acceptability of 21 antidepressant drugs for the acute treatment of adults with major depressive disorder: a systematic review and network meta-analysis Lancet, 2018.PMID 29477251
- [24]Leucht S, Corves C, Arbter D, Engel RR, Li C, Davis JM Second-generation versus first-generation antipsychotic drugs for schizophrenia: a meta-analysis Lancet, 2009.PMID 19058842
- [25]Geddes JR, Carney SM, Davies C, et al. Relapse prevention with antidepressant drug treatment in depressive disorders: a systematic review Lancet, 2003.PMID 12606176
- [26]Leucht S, Leucht C, Huhn M, et al. Sixty Years of Placebo-Controlled Antipsychotic Drug Trials in Acute Schizophrenia: Systematic Review, Bayesian Meta-Analysis, and Meta-Regression of Efficacy Predictors Am J Psychiatry, 2017.PMID 28541090